HFIP Annual Review Meeting | Nov 2017

Katia, Irma and Jose 2017
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HFIP Annual Review Meeting | Nov 2017

November 8-9, 2017 | Miami, FL

Overall Objectives

In 2017, the signed Weather Act requires the development of a new HFIP project plan due in April 2018. The Weather Act states three main goals: (1) improving the prediction of RI and track of hurricanes; (2) improving the forecast and communication of storm surges from hurricanes; and (3) incorporating risk communication research to create more effective watch and warning products. The objective of this meeting will be to discuss the proposed revisions of the current HFIP goals and review the initial draft of the plan which will be briefed at this annual meeting. The HFIP Plan will represent an integrated plan across NOAA and involvement from the community outside NOAA which will lead to achieving the overall goals.

Over the years, the HFIP program has been guided with the advice of Strategic Planning teams and Tiger teams. The results, accomplishments, and lessons learned of the HFIP teams have allowed for development of a multi-year strategy for improving hurricane forecast guidance. The Tiger teams primarily are responsible for overseeing the development of specific new capability for the hurricane forecast guidance system. This meeting will provide updates from the various teams and discuss the NOAA strategy related to the Next Generation Global Prediction System developments and the strategy to address the hurricane problem.

The meeting is planned for this location: DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel Miami Airport & Convention Center

The agenda will consist of three parts:


  • Nov 7: (CLOSED) HFIP Strategic Plan writing team (face-to-face) meeting at NHC
  • Day 1:(Nov 8): Report on 2017 activities - Results, accomplishments & lessons learned

  • Day 2 (Nov 9 - morning): Goals and priorities for 2018+; long-term planning
  • Day 2 (Nov 9 - afternoon): Storm surge session - including coordination of Storm Surge Plan

DRAFT AGENDA

Day 1 Remote Attendees: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.
https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/700156605
Join the conference call:
1-877-985-3644; pscd 584664

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

8:15 am           Registration, Name Badge Pickup, Continental Breakfast

8:40 am           Welcome remarks, Introductions, facility logistics

Results from 2017 – (Chair: DeMaria)

8:50 am           FY17 NHC Verification (Cangialosi)
 
9:10 am           NHC's forecast challenges in 2017 – Harvey/Irma/Maria (Brennan/Blake)

9:30 am           NHC's view on developmental priorities (Brennan/Blake)

9:50 am           2017 Year in Review: JTWC TC Activity, Forecast Challenges, and Developmental Priorities (Strahl)

10:10am          Open Discussion on Best Practices and lessons learned for 2017

10:25 am        Break

Operational Modeling Center Reports (Stream 1) – (Chair: Gopal)
 
10:45 am         HWRF FY17 Performance (Zhan Zhang)
 
11:05 am         EMC Hurricane model upgrades and priorities for 2018 (Mehra)
 
11:25 am         COAMPS-TC FY17 Performance and FY18-FY19 Plans (Doyle)

Results from Jet: Real-time Reservations (Stream 2)

11:45 am         Performance of Ensembles and Future Plans (Zhang, Moskaitis)     
           
12:00 pm         Basin-scale HWRF realtime results (Ghassan Alaka)

 
12:15 am         FV3 realtime results (Bender)
 
12:30 pm         Plans for Hurricanes in FV3 (Tallapragada)

12:45 pm        Working Lunch (provided)

1:40 pm          HFIP Strategic and Tiger Team Reports - (Chair: Mehra)

1:45 pm           Model Developments and Priorities (Xuejin Zhang, Zhan Zhang)

2:05 pm           Data Assimilation/Ensemble Development (X.Wang, Sippel)

2:25 pm           Socioeconomic Team (Sprague)

2:40 pm           Post Processing/Verification - incl. HCCA results (Zelinsky, DeMaria, Penny)

3:00 pm           ATCF and AWIPS-2 developments (DeMaria, Sampson)

3:20 pm           DTC core activities (Newman, Nance)

3:40 pm          Break
                       
Tiger Teams – (Chair: Gopal)

4:00 pm           Ensemble Products Tiger Team (Torn, Xiaohui)

4:20 pm           Hi-Res Physics Tiger Team (Abarca)

4:40 pm           Ocean Model Impact Tiger Team (Kim, Halliwell)

5:00 pm         Summary and Wrap up for Day 1

  • Discuss Day 2 agenda and optional group dinner

 

5:15 pm          Adjourn

Day 2 Remote Attendees: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.
https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/347993301
Join the conference call:
1-877-985-3644; pscd 584664.

Thursday, November 9, 2017

8:30 am           Continental Breakfast

9:00 am           Next Phase of HFIP – What Did HFIP Do Well? What's Next? (Toepfer, Marks)

9:25 am          HFIP under the 2017 Weather Act – (Chair: Marks)

9:40 am           Outbrief from Writing Team on 2017 HFIP Program Plan (TBD)

10:30 am        Break

10:50 am         Open Discussion on Priorities (these may be modified based on report) (Chair: Marks)

  • Research and development HPC for Hurricanes
  • High resolution nests into the global system
  • Reg models and ensembles for impacts from rain, gusts, surge, and severe wx
  • Focus on weak systems and invests
  • Initialization and DA (move away from current initialization approach)
  • DA in general (assimilate non-linear variables)
  • Observations for evaluating the model performance and physics
  • OSSE/OSE
  • RI
  • Hurricane Impacts

 

12:30 pm        Working Lunch (provided)
 
1:30 pm          Storm Surge (Leave 10min for questions) – (Chair: Kurkowski)

1:35 pm           Current State of Operations (Fritz)

2:05 pm           Status of Tropical Program (Schauer)

2:30 pm           NOAA storm surge modeling gaps and priorities (Paulik)

3:00 pm           Short-term plan to advance storm surge modeling (Kurkowski)

3:30 pm          Break

3:50 pm           Long-term vision for NOAA storm surge to meet operational needs and requirements of the Weather Act (Kurkowski)

4:20 pm           Role of storm surge in COASTAL Act (Myers)

4:50 pm           Summary of Day 2 and Report on Actions from Meeting

5:15 pm          Adjourn


  

 


 

Registration closes November 1.
Annual Meeting Registration Form
Abbreviation (acronym) for your institution
Full name as you want it to appear on your nametag

Meeting and Lodging:

DoubleTree by Hilton Miami Airport & Convention Center

Individual reservations can be made by using this link by October 20:
HFIP Annual Meeting DoubleTree Reservations

or calling the Hotel directly at (305) 261-3800

Monday – Friday 9am to 5pm
Saturday 9am to 4pm
Closed Sunday

Reservations can also be made directly with the hotel by e-mail: reservations@doubletreemacc.com OR Hilton reservations 24 Hour toll free at 1-888-353-1995

*When booking reference code GCA and group name HFIP Annual Meeting. The group rate is only guaranteed through October 20.

711 NW 72nd Ave, Miami, FL 33126.

Remote Participation:

Day 1:

Day 1 Remote Attendees: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.

https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/700156605

Join the conference call:

1-877-985-3644; pscd 584664

Day 2:

Day 2 Remote Attendees: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.

https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/347993301

Join the conference call:

1-877-985-3644; pscd 584664

Gopal (sundararaman.g.gopalakrishnan@noaa.gov) HFIP Co-Development Manager
Fred Toepfer (frederick.toepfer@noaa.gov) HFIP Program Manager
Frank Marks (frank.marks@noaa.gov) HFIP Science Manager
Sheema Lett (nysheema.lett@noaa.gov) HFIP Office Logistics Coordinator
Liz Hoswell (liz@ucar.edu) HFIP Meeting Coordinator
Paul Kucera (pkucera@ucar.edu) HFIP Website Coordinator