The HFIP program is guided with the advice of 8 teams that represent the various development areas needed by HFIP to achieve its goals. The role of the team members are to ensure the HFIP plan represents an integrated plan across NOAA and involving the community outside NOAA and that it will lead meeting the overall HFIP goals. As a reference, these goals include: improving numerical guidance of intensity and track forecasts 20% over five years and 50% over ten years; for rapid changes in intensity, increasing the modeled probability of detection by 20% and decreasing false alarm ratio by 20%; making numerical weather prediction forecasts of tropical cyclones to seven days with accuracy as good as at five days in 2003; associated improvements in simulated storm surge and rainfall forecasts; and, providing post-processing applications that optimize use of HFIP advances by operational forecast offices.
The work of the teams is ultimately conducted by various organizations that receive HFIP support. The team members are selected to provide a breadth of expertise to help achieve the HFIP goals. The list of teams and current team leads are listed below.
Current Teams Team Leads
Global Model/Physics Stan Benjamin (ESRL), John Brown
Regional Model/Physics Morris Bender (GFDL), Young Kwon
Ensembles Zoltan Toth (ESRL), Carolyn Reynolds
Data Assimilation/ Jeff Whitaker (ESRL),
Vortex Initialization Tomislava Vukicevic (AOML)
Verification Team Tim Marchok (GFDL), Barb Brown
Applications Development Wallace Hogsett (NHC), Mark DeMaria and Diagnostics (NESDIS/STAR)
Hurricane Observations Sim Aberson (AOML), John Knaff
Coupled Air-Sea Hendrik Tolman (EMC), Hyun-Sook Kim
Socio-Economic Rick Knabb (NHC), Jennifer Sprague